Model-based projections for NFL & NCAA football · market snapshot Oct 2, 2026 · missing lines filled from published odds
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College predictions updated: Oct 2, 2026. Published score projections from Covers Week 5 AI model are used where available and identified on each card. These replace the local college projection for those matchups. Other cards blend Weeks 1–4 team results with existing feed probabilities where available. Win probabilities are calculated here from projected margin using a normal curve (σ 17 college / 13.5 NFL); they are not Covers probabilities or calibrated confidence estimates. Market lines: Negative spread means home favorite. Editable lines recalculate picks. Edges: half the model–market difference; ≥1 point is a lean, ≥2.5 is a larger model gap, not validated betting confidence. College ratings use completed NCAA-listed FBS games from Weeks 1–4, excluding Week 0. Historical result order identifies winner and loser, not home and away. NFL retains its original model. For information only.